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Latest blog posts

  • A healthy economy named after the famous children's story, "Goldilocks and the Three Bears."

    End of the 'Goldilocks' Economy

    A Goldilocks economy describes an ideal steady state for an economy whereby the economy is not expanding or contracting by too much. A Goldilocks economy has predictable economic growth, preventing a recession, but not so much growth that inflation spikes.

    April 4th, 2022
  • A re-think on portfolio construction.

    A Portfolio Rethink

    The 60/40 asset allocation mantra is dead. Long live 60/40. For the longest time, financial advisors constructed portfolios that were comprised of 60% stocks and 40% bonds or fixed income instruments. But the rising uncertainty due to rising inflation and interest rates, volatile markets, a spate of damaging geopolitical and climatic events, and increased awareness of social inequality has put a dent in this asset allocation methodology.

    March 3rd, 2022
  • The world still needs oil .. a lot of it.

    EVs and Surging Oil Prices

    Energy transition is in the cross hairs of oil prices going parabolic. While some say rising oil prices make energy transition investments economically competitive, there is another school of thoughts that suggests that surging oil prices present a much bigger threat to ESG and its constant need to justify its relevance with outperformance.

    March 3rd, 2022
  • The burning platform

    Printing Trillions: The Tale of a Burning Platform

    At no other point since at least 1999 have so many stocks been cut in half while the Nasdaq Composite index was so close to its peak. There is no precedent for when so many stocks were in a bear market, and the index wasn’t. Valuations are at highs, companies are raising billions based on fairy dust, and the Fed is signaling a tightening cycle. Are we on the cusp of a repeat of 1999-2000? Are the after-effects of printing trillions about to hit?

    February 2nd, 2022
  • Crash and Burn

    The Meme Frenzy Retreat

    Last year, it was really a tale of two stock markets - the one that was rational and valued companies based on cash flows and then you had a complete casino society. The meme-stock frenzy was a speculative bubble, an unmitigated disaster waiting to unfold, taking with it shores of retail traders.

    February 2nd, 2022
  • Rising rates, peaking inflation and the quantitative tightening.

    Don't Fight the Fed

    The Fed tightening is playing out, as liquidity removal since the start of the year has been driven by the bond market sell-off and equity weakness. Just because the Nasdaq is off 12% from the Dec highs, it doesn't mean that the tightening is close to being done.

    January 1st, 2022
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